Parliamentary Connections: Regulation Archives

Main

Regulation Archives

November 28, 2006

Where is the Man from the Pru when you need him?

The Treasury Select Committee has been berating the Financial Services Authority for its failure to get to grips with financial exclusion.

The select committee rightly points out that much more needs to be done and that producing leaflets and knocking out some advice on a website does not really scratch the surface of a growing problem. Proposals from Citizens Advice for IFAs to offer free advice, while worthy, also seem to offer little hope of addressing the problem.

Financial exclusion has grown as a problem over the last decade because the most effective mechanism for getting simple protection and savings products into the hands of the less well off was regulated out of existence. Home service insurance – personified by the Man from the Pru on his bicycle – worked. Tens of thousands of vulnerable families had decent basic protection because the insurance man would knock on their door every week to collect the premium, advise on changes in cover when family circumstances changed and provide friendly advice on family finance. It was very old-fashioned, relatively expensive and totally alien to the form-filling, fact find mentality that drives modern regulation. But it worked.

The simple truth is that people on low incomes, desperately trying to keep up with our consumer society are not going to go looking for financial advice. The advice needs to go to them which is precsiely the service the Man from the Pru offered. The challenge now is to find a way of reinventing that concept for the 21st century.

June 19, 2008

FSA swings into action on hedge funds

The Financial Services Authority's sudden move to demand greater transparency from hedge funds is very welcome and shows a degree of determination to cast light into the more mysterious corners of the markets that outstrips past reforms. Predictably, it has brought protests in its wake.
At the front of the queue of complainants are the hedge funds themselves who now suddenly face the prospect of having to explain themselves when short-selling stock that is the subject of a rights issue. What do they have to fear? If they have good reasons for doing this – beyond making themselves millions – then I am sure the intelligent people who run these funds will be able to articulate those reasons. If the reasons are threadbare and amount to little more than gambling on the failure of a rights issue then they will be exposed as such. I will be interested in the explanations because I have never quite understood why an institutional fund manager would lend stock to a hedge fund to drive down the price of shares in their portfolio. I always thought that fund managers liked to think they added value to a firm by holding its shares, not destroyed value.
So, there might be an element of protesting too much about the squeals from the hedge funds. The nervousness this pre-emptive FSA strike has induced elsewhere in the market, I understand a little better.
The FSA has always consulted widely before making major changes, almost over-consulted some would say. Does this move herald an era of more aggressive action on the part of the regulator?More of a take it or get out attitude? I don't know but I do know that it is the fear of many in the markets regulated by the FSA that it could be the dawn of a new reform culture down at Canary Wharf with less asking how people would like to be regulated and rather more telling them how they are going to be regulated.

February 1, 2008

Moving backwards on bank regulation

The Treasury's latest response to the Northern Rock crisis seems to me a grave backward step in bank regulation.
I refer to the proposal that in future any Bank of England support for an ailing financial institution should be done on the hush-hush. Apparently, the Treasury and the Bank have convinced themselves that the Northern Rock crisis was all the fault of the media for telling people that it was being supported by the Bank. Hardly.
Northern Rock hit the buffers because its dimwitted board fooled itself into adopting a deeply flawed business model that couldn't withstand even the initial stresses of the nascent credit crunch last summer. It therefore went cap in hand to the Bank of England and, as soon as the news of central bank support became public, the queues started to form outside Northern Rock's branches. In future, says the Treasury, such support should be kept secret to prevent people with their savings invested in a failing institution knowing that their money might be at risk. I thought this was the era of transparency but I obviously got that one wrong.
I fully accept that by making public the need for central support you are likely to prompt people to worry about the security of their savings but surely they have a right to know. It just cannot be the right way of doing things in the 21st century to allow City bigwigs to fix up a deal - which may or may not work - behind closed doors and keep investors in the dark. It is a deeply patronising attitude that almost seems a throw back to another era.
It will be entirely to the good if the threat of having your investors know you are in trouble remains. It should provoke greater caution among managements who think they have come up with another "too good to be true" way of bucking the markets and leaving their competitors in the shade. The "What if?" testing of the risks in their business model should inject a greater note of caution if the ghosts of Northern Rock and its queues of anxious customers looms over their shoulders. Banish those ghosts and you take away some of the fear of the consequences of failing to run a responsible business.

June 26, 2007

Treasury's Travel Trumps

The clearing of the decks before this week’s changing of the political guard has brought an unexpected bonus for the insurance industry with the announcement by Treasury minister Ed Balls that all travel insurance sales are going to be regulated by the Financial Services Authority from January 2009.
This argument has been running for years with travel agents fighting a fierce but misguided, rearguard action to stay out of the regulatory net. They initially won an exception with a lot of high sounding promises about better training, self regulation and monitoring of consumer complaints. We all knew that was only abit of polite window dressing to cover up the fact that the FSA couldn’t cope with taking on travel agents at the same time as the rest of the general insurance sales show.
Nevertheless, the Association of British Travel Agents had a chance to get their members in line but failed to take it. If ABTA had have introduced a tough training standard, a rigorous self-regulatory regime and done something to reduce the outrageous commissions their members earn off selling travel insurance they may have kept them out of the regulatory net. They failed on every count so no-one should feel sorry for them or their members. I certainly do not believe that statutory regulation per se will many force travel agents to stop selling insurance as ABTA has claimed today. Most of them earn far too much in commissions to chuck it in at the first scent of an FSA inspection.
Of course, what could happen is that the FSA starts to take a dim view of policies where less than 40% of the premium ends up in the hands of the underwriter and enforce some sort of disclosure regime on the market. Now, that would provoke a shake-out.
In the meantime, the industry as a whole will benefit from the Treasury’s change of heart. Travel insurance attracts a disproportionately high level of complaints and critical press coverage, tarnishing the image of the whole industry. Statutory regulation gives everyone a chance to put matters right and whatever job Ed Balls goes onto, the industry should be grateful to him for this legacy.
The only shame is that we have to wait until January 2009 for it to bite.

March 5, 2007

Trades unions fear mis-selling crisis

Every year or so the All Party Parliamentary Group on Insurance & Financial Services has a dinner with the trades unions representing workers in the financial services sector. Although there is spread of unions and staff associations active in the sector, dominated by AMICUS, they work together under the banner of Alliance for Finance.
The dinner has the habit of turning into abit of a platform for a group of Labour peers to show off their trade union credentials and the latest dinner last week was a particularly bad example of this habit with many of the Alliance for Finance representatives left feeling they hadn't had much of a chance to get their point of view across because they had been listening to speeches from members of the group – rather the opposite of how these events are meant to work. That said, they did air their concerns on a few key issues.
Top of their list was the pressure that bank and building society counter staff and call centre workers are put under to reach sales targets that the unions frequently consider to be unrealistic. Representatives from right across the sector felt that many of these targets could only be reached if customers were over-sold – if not blatently mis-sold – financial products. They felt this was now especially true of some things that are not caught in the Financial Services Authority net, such as credit cards and other debt-related products.
Running neatly in parallel with this fear is their concern about the lack of consumer education on personal finance. The unions are very supportive of the drive to include this in the national curriculum and were mildy critical of the Financial Services Authoirty for not doing more on this front.
Both of these issues have been recurring themes when the All Party Group has met the unions over the years. Things maybe moving on the consumer education front but no real work has ever been done on looking at the contribution that overly aggressive sales targets have made to the various mis-selling scandals over the last 20 years. Perhaps the unions could consider funding a university department to carry out some research into this so that they can come back next year with some hard evidence to prove the point.

February 23, 2007

Travel battle lines are drawn

The deadline on the consultation period for the Treasury's review of the sale of travel insurance passed yesterday with absolutely no new light being shed on the subject.
Just about all the submissions were as predictable as they come and could have been written anytime in the last five years.
To sum up: The Association of British Travel Agents (ABTA) has stuck its head in its members' balance sheets and realised that they cream off too much commission for mis-selling travel insurance for it to risk even the most minimal acknowledgement that there might be a problem; on the other side, brokers and direct insurers are united in their condemnation of the shabby sales practices of most travel agents and the poor value of the policies they sell. Powerful backing for the latter viewpoint comes from a range of consumer groups, most recently reinforced by BBCTV's Watchdog programme. This demonstrated, yet again, that too many people go through unnecessary hardship and suffering because they were not sold the right travel insurance policy by a travel agent.
So, if nothing has changed in the view of the market participants what chance is there that the Treasury will now stand up to the mighty travel industry lobby and do what it should have done in the first place which is get the Financial Services Authoirty to regulate all sales of travel insurance?
I suppose the most optimistic sign is the mere fact that the review is taking place. It was initiated by new Treasury minister Ed Balls who, as I have pointed out before, shows a greater understanding of the insurance industry than most of his recent predecessors put together. In speeches I have heard him make he has given the strongest hint possible that his belief is that there is a problem with travel insurance which wasn't solved by ABTA's worthless promises about addressing the problem with rigourous self regulation. He is unlikley to be impressed by ABTA's submission which seems just a re-run of previous arguments.
The one that always srtikes me as the most specious is that proper regulation will lead to a lack of consumer choice. I think this is the complete opposite of the real effect of introducing a level playing field as, at the moment, people almost feel obliged to buy the insurance through the travel agent or tour operator – it is virtually a linked with no choice offered. This means they do not have the incentive to shop around for something better and, also, that the alternative providers know that a large chunk of the potential market is cut off from them, reducing their incentive to market to them. Put everyone in the same regulatory environment and I believe that alongside the major benefit of eliminating alot of mis-selling we will also see greater consumer choice.

October 9, 2008

FSCS bill mounts up

John Greenway's dire warning at the Post Magazine Business Leaders Forum Parliamentary Reception on Tuesday evening that the Financial Services Compensation Scheme could be sending some large bills in the direction of insurance brokers, IFAs and insurers next year and the year after moves closer to reality every day.
Promises are being made by government as knee-jerk reactions to the unprecedented crisis that grips our banking system. It is simply a matter now of doing anything necessary to put out new fires before they engulf yet another institution that just weeks ago looked fireproof. Pledges to compensate those who put their money (foolishly?) into collapsed Icelandic banks are made without stopping to think who will pay or how. This all reaches far beyond what the FCSC was designed for or can reasonably be expected to cope with.
Fortunately, there will be an early opportunity for Parliament to survey this wreckage as the Banking Reform Bill is about to set off on its legislative passage. I expect the issue of who compensates the depositors and savers in failed banks to feature prominently in this debate and it may offer an opportunity for the insurance industry, especially the broker and IFA sectors, to lobby hard for some cast iron ringing fencing of banking liabilities.

October 8, 2008

Who will scrutinise the nationalised banks?

There is a rising chorus of criticism of the ineffectiveness of Parliament during the current crisis. Today in The Guardian for instance, Simon Jenkins launches a stinging attack on the failure of the House of Commons to break away from its grouse-shooting long summer recess and compares it unfavourably with the American and Icelandic legislatures which he says, with some vindication, have stepped up to the mark.
I think he is being unfair in suggesting that MPs were roaming the moors looking for game as I suspect a majority of them don’t even have a passing familiarity with a grouse, dead or alive. The reason for the recess stretching all the way through September is the party conference season, still plonked in its traditional place in the calendar and still kicked off by the TUC at the beginning of September as it has been for over half a century. It has long looked an irrelevant circus, well past its sell by date, with none of the main parties daring to allow anything approaching genuine debate (let alone dissent) they are pointless talking shops.
This year they looked even more irrelevant as the financial storm clouds gathered and the winds of chaos blew with ever greater force. They should have been at Westminster, creating a sense of genuine purpose, articulating the fears and concerns of ordinary people – as the US Congress did so effectively – and injecting some much needed urgency into the Treasury, Bank of England and Financial Services Authority.
They missed that opportunity, however. So, what now?
I think Parliament has to look very hard at how it will scrutinise these newly nationalised – whether partially or wholly – financial institutions. I think the House of Commons Treasury Select Committee will do a good job in probing the regulatory triumvirate that looks to have been sleeping on the job and the bankers whose lack of understanding of their own businesses tipped the world into crisis. People will expect blame to be apportioned and will want to see those most responsible squirm and be punished: John McFall’s team is well placed to do this and to take it to the next, more constructive, level which is trying to understand what we have to do better to prevent such disasters befalling us again.
What I do not think they are well placed to do is to scrutinise how taxpayers’ stakes in financial institutions are being managed. This needs a fresh approach. No-one outside of a few City boardrooms expects the government to sign a blank cheque to bail-out institutions that have created, participated in and exacerbated the global collapse of financial markets. They need to be held to account and to have someone constantly looking over their shoulders on our behalf.
Parliament should set up a new Financial Institutions Select Committee made up of both MPs and Lords and chaired by Vince Cable, the Liberal Democrat’s widely respected Treasury spokesman. This committee should have extensive powers to demand that the directors of banks appear before it, that the institutions benefiting from public subsidy produce top quality financial information for it and also that they submit plans for major investments to it. This would breathe new life into Parliament, demonstrating that it has a new found determination to protect and promote our interests.

February 4, 2009

PPI Clampdown hits the mark

If you need any confirmation of the low regard in which banks are now held by MPs just listen to the deafening silence that greeted the Competition Commission's draconian action on payment protection insurance. In any normal climate, there would have been some sharply divided views on the blanket ban on the sale of single premium PPI with new loans and the clampdown on point-of-sale promotion of regular premium policies. Now, there is silence.

It is no good the Association of British Insurers bleating that some people who need this cover may now not bother with it. Its members connived with the banks and building society to miss-sell the product for years so that people paid far too much, often for policies that wouldn't cover them anyway as they might be self-employed or have a pre-existing medical condition.

PPI was, at best, over-sold by the banks. I have sat through meetings between MPs of all parties and the trade unions in the finance sector where the unions complained bitterly that the only way counter staff in banks could meet the targets set for them on the sale of PPI policies was to sell them to people who would never be entitled to make a claim. Insurers must have been as aware of this as the banks, yet they let it go on.

Clearly, the Competition Commission has taken the view that banks and insurers - with 20 years of miss-selling products between them - simply can't be trusted to clean up their own act so they have done it for them. It will cost banks a tidy sum in lost commissions.

This may turn out to be the first of many regulatory clampdowns on financial products as the government and regulators battle to regain public confidence in their ability to control the institutions that are blamed for the financial and economic crisis that now engulfs us. It is essentially a battle for hearts and minds - and a very political battle as the next General Election is now no more than 15 months away -  but it may take us in the direction of an over-regulated industry that finds its scope for innovation gravely restricted as the economy recovers.

February 17, 2009

Credit crunch confidence crisis

There is no shock value in the current crisis-ridden climate when a consumer group says the financial services sector has a mountain to climb to restore consumer confidence. Which? - once the Consumers Association - set out this case with admirably clarity when it spoke to the All Party Parliamentary Group on Insurance & Financial Services recently. More of a shock was its critique of a regulatory system that we all know has failed but which few have yet pointed so clearly at where they believe the fundamental fault lines lie. More of that later.

Which? used a recent survey to illustrate how far consumer confidence had been rocked over the last few months. Here are a few figures from that survey:
• 84% think the banking system needs to be reformed to avoid another crisis.
• 21% do not trust banks to keep their money safe.
• 72% of pension holders are worried about the value of their pension.
• 35% of current mortgage holders are worried about having their home repossessed.
There are plenty more in the full presentationWhich APPG presentation.ppt
Consumers need to be confident that their money is safe, said Which?, as the current situation is bad for consumers and bad for the financial services industry. The whole system cannot function without trust and the focus has to be on restoring that lost trust starting with getting the banks - especially those relying on taxpayer support - to treat customers fairly. Which? was particularly critical of the failure of banks to manage the contraction of credit which it attacked as going "from feast to famine".
It also called for a stronger voice for consumers in the running of the nationalised and part-nationalised banks, starting with representation on UK Financial Investments which has been set-up by the Chancellor of the Exchequer to oversee these unwanted - at least unsought-after - state holdings.

All predictable stuff, as was the assertion that regulation needs to be stronger, more probing and much more consumer-focussed. Which?, went further than this, however, spelling out where it thought the fundamental faults with the current regime lay.

Firstly, it called for a separation of retail and investment banking, a call for a return to the days of the US Glass-Steagall Act which kept the riskier end of wholesale and investment banking away from what we used to call the clearing banks: cross-ownership was prohibited in the US which effectively put a block on it elsewhere in the world. When this Act, passed in the wake of the Great Crash of 1929, was swept away in 1999 the seeds of the current crisis were sown, argued Which?. The high risk addiction of the investment banks replaced the innate caution of the very traditional retail banking sector.

The second fault line Which? drew to the attention of MPs contains the irreconcilable conflict between prudential supervision and consumer protection. The thrust of Which's argument as it emerged in discussion with the Parliamentarians at the meeting was that if the number one priority is solvency then decisions will be made that will not be in the interest of consumers, essentially where we are today with the brutal shut-down of credit destroying the mortgage market and other lines of consumer and business credit. This would require a total reform of the regulatory regime put in place after Labour came to power in 1997 and which has the broadly based Financial Services Authority at it heart. Which? would like to see prudential regulation handed to a freshly empowered Bank of England with the FSA left to concentrate on a more consumer orientated role.

This is an interesting analysis and one that will, I am sure, emerge from elsewhere as the debate about what happened, why it happened and how the current system of regulation allowed it to happen gathers momentum. Whether it is entirely right I have some doubts. As unpalatable as it is to most in the UK financial services sector I still think that we will find ourselves looking at some form of product regulation more along mainstream European lines as the most direct and effective way of convincing consumers that regulators have really taken control of the problem. The irony of this is that we in the UK have fought hard over the last 20 years - ever since the run-up to the creation of the Single Market in 1992 - to convince the rest of Europe that prudential regulation was the way forward and that product regulation was not in the interests of consumers. It is an argument that now looks threadbare.


February 25, 2009

Europe draws up the battle lines on financial regulation

It should come as no surprise that the European Commission will launch a bid to create a pan-European financial regulator. The abject failure of national regulators to prevent, predict or plan for the successive crises that have swamped the financial services sector over the past 18 months is an open invitation to a highly interventionist organisation like the Commission to step in.
It will be an interesting battle. Gordon Brown shows few signs of admitting that the system of regulation he put in place in the early days of the Labour government was deeply flawed. I have seen reports suggesting that the Prime Minister has "relaxed" his opposition to more Europe-wide regulation but I don't see that reflected in anything he says. At the weekend, he was critical of proposals - gathering pace on both sides of the Atlantic - to restore the split between retail and investment banking. It does seem that he just cannot bring himself to admit that anything he has done or supported in the past has been wrong.
He will oppose the creation of any pan-European regulator once it becomes clear that it wants to approach regulation in a different way to that he put in place in the UK. This will leave the UK very isolated as the rest of Europe sees our system as being the most deeply flawed which is why we have the most serious problems.

February 26, 2009

Does the FSA really have the answers?

Macho posturing. Empty macho posturing. That could be the overwhelming feeling one is left with in the wake of the Financial Services Authority's appearance before the Treasury Select Committee. Certainly if you relied on the BBC's Robert Peston you would feel vindicated in that judgement. For once, the usually admirable Mr Peston has been too hasty in his condemnation of the relatively new regime being put in place at the FSA by Lord Turner and Hector Sants.
It is, of course, no more than one would expect of the FSA's bosses to own up to the mistakes of the past. After all, the wreckage of the financial system lies all around us, grim witness to the total failure of a light touch regulatory system bullishly promoted here and in the USA. Also, on the very day that the European Commission made its pitch to take over regulation you would expect the FSA to come out fighting.
A more detailed consideration of what Lord Turner said yesterday does suggest that there is much more going on behind the scenes than they are being given credit for. Whether it is enough to preserve the FSA's key position in the regulatory firmament is by no means clear but it does point the way to a fundamental shift in its approach to financial regulation and, crucially, aligns it more closely with European thinking and the consumer lobby in the UK.
The commitment to embrace product regulation is a rejection of the last 25 years of financial regulation in this country. Ever since the unfettered free market regime of Margaret Thatcher in the 1980s and the battle with the European Union in the run-up to the creation of the single market in 1992, product regulation has been dismissed in this country as the great inhibitor of dynamism and growth in financial services. We won that battle in Europe and Solvency II is one of the products of that regime where all the emphasis is on capital adequacy and balance sheets, ignoring the products. The European Commission wants Solvency II fully implemented by May. Why? So that it can clear the decks for an assault on the products of financial institutions. The FSA is foreshadowing this.
Don't run away with the idea that the FSA is just looking at the high risk financial instruments of the investment banks when it talks about product regulation. The example it offered yesterday was mortgages where Lord Turner suggested that capping loan-to-value at 80% or 85% might be something the FSA should do.
The other clue as to the FSA's thinking was the promise to increase "by several times" the amount of capital that banks must hold to cover the riskier end of their trading books. This seems to be a way of separating retail and investment banking by stealth. The FSA seems to saying that if it can't move quickly - because the Prime Minister doesn't accept the case - to separate retail and investment banking, then it will do it by imposing tough capital rules that will make it attractive for some institutions to back away from investment banking. This is probably the route that Royal Bank of Scotland will go down later today.

March 6, 2009

Brown has lost the regulatory reform battle already - he just can't bring himself to admit it

As hard as he might try, it looks as if Gordon Brown has already lost control of the debate on the future regulation of the world's financial services industries. His pleas to President Obama and the US Congress for a co-ordinated global response sounded very fine but lacked substance and, crucially, lacked credibility. His hopes of pulling off a deal at the G20 Summit next month now look very slim.

Most of the rest of the world is not looking to the UK or the United States for a lead in reforming the way financial markets and the firms that play in them are regulated for the simple reason that they think the Anglo-US approach of the last 25 years has a lot to do with the mess the world's economies are currently in as many leading commentators are starting to point out. Europe, in particular, does not want a UK or US solution and is already busily working at its own. Last week's Larosiere report spells out a new approach that has quickly won approval in the European Commission and among key national governments in mainland Europe. The Larosiere Report?  You haven't heard of it? You can be forgiven because the coverage in the UK of this key report for the European Commission by former International Monetary Fund managing director Jacques de Larosiere has been poorly covered here. Yet, it has set the EU on a course to create three new pan-national regulatory bodies - the European Banking Authority, the European Securities Authority and the European Insurance Authority.

These new regulators will be given wide powers to impose supervisory standards on national regulators, make binding decisions on technical issues (very likely to include powers over product design) and enforce adequate prudential supervision in conjunction with another new body, the European Systemic Risk Council. Certain pan-European organisations will find themselves closely regulated for the first time with credit ratings agencies at the top of the list - they are in for a very nasty shock if these recommendations go through. For the time-being, the EU envisages micro-level regulation of individual firms being left with national regulators but it sets out a course towards far greater control in the future, threatening to bring a range of other market and conduct of business issues under the remit of its new structure.

The report and the Commission make a nod in the direction of the world outside Europe's borders by urging a "deepening of the EU's bilateral financial relations with all its major partners" but here, in the very next line, is the key statement of intent "There is an opportunity for the EU to seize global leadership". This is where the battle lines will be drawn and it is hard to see Gordon Brown's voice being heard above the noise of that battle.

There are some scores to be settled with the UK among many regulators in Europe dating back to the creation of the Single Market in financial services in 1992 when the UK won a protracted argument over the balance between prudential regulation and product regulation, with the EU rules coming down firmly in favour of the former. At the time, many financial products in Germany, France, Italy and Spain were tightly regulated in terms of design and rates. All of that was replaced by a more UK orientated system of prudential supervision and it is that system that many in Europe believe has now failed, no more so that in the UK. Larosiere comes back time and again in his report to the need to regulate at much more detailed level, especially when it comes to hedge funds, over-the -counter derivatives and credit default swaps. It also has things to say on the need for greater risk retention by the issuers of securitised products and calls for common rules for what it rather vaguely refers to as "investment funds".

The UK has given a lukewarm welcome to the Larosiere report but merely praising it as a "good basis for further discussions" as Alistair Darling did this week is hardly going to win friends at the European Commission, especially as he goes on to dismiss the idea of given any new pan-European bodies powers over national regulators. Europe sees it as the agenda for those discussions and we can expect to see France and Germany pressing this at the G20 summit. They are not interested in the sort of wishy-washy talk of global co-operation that the Prime Minister peddled to the US Congress this week: they want firm action with tough new rules and see how to deliver that as the starting point for debate, not merely as an option for discussion.

If the UK financial services sector wants to engage in the real debate over the future of regulation it will be much better advised to look to Brussels rather than to Westminster.


March 18, 2009

Goodwin's pension is obscuring the issue

There is no coherent argument that can be offered for defending Sir Fred Goodwin's pension and it was disappointing to see yesterday's hearings of the Treasury Select Committee largely wasted in pursuing the City minister Lord (Paul) Myners over the Goodwin pension.
We all know what happened. In the eye of the crisis last October when the banking system was being swept towards an abyss, a morally bankrupt RBS board pulled a fast one when they knew the government wouldn't be looking. They thought Goodwin was been sacrificed to satisfy the government as it poured public money into their ailing company and so did everything they could to feather his nest. The decisions they made were deliberate, calculating and cynical. You cannot blame the government - in particular Lord Myners - for not noticing this at the time. Can you imagine the outrage if government ministers had become so distracted by arguing with the RBS board over Goodwin's pension that RBS or another bank had gone under. Re-arranging deckchairs on the Titanic would have been an under-statement of how that would have looked.
The real anger shouldn't be aimed at the government but at a board who acted so cynically, sadly showing what Barclays has just proved yet again with its gagging of The Guardian - that bankers simply do not understand how they are perceived by the rest of us. What is needed to steer us out of this crisis is a real partnership between government, regulators (here and elsewhere but especially the European Union) and financial institutions. Clearly, too many of the latter are still not working to the same agenda as everyone else. That is the real issue now.

March 24, 2009

Noose tightens on ratings agencies

The threat of tough rules to bring the ratings agencies into a new pan-European regulatory framework took a step closer to reality last night as the European Parliament's economic and monetary affairs committee voted through a hard-hitting package of proposals.
The prospect of ratings agencies being subject to regulatory scrutiny was flagged up by the Larosiere report and has also been on the agenda of the UK's Treasury Select Committee enquiry into the banking crisis. Up to now, however, the proposals have been abit vague and have pointed to much of the detailed regulation being left to national regulators. The proposals put forward by the internal market commissioner, Charlie McCreevy, put the Euroepan Union firmly in the driving seat of that reform. Under the proposals which now go to the European Parliament next month, all ratings agencies will have register with the Committee of European Securities Regulators - itself earmarked for a greater role by Larosiere - or be subject to equivalent regulation if based outside the EU. Within the detail of the proposals is a requirement that all lead analysts should be rotated every five years.
This is yet another example of the EU pushing ahead in its determination to take control of the reform agenda.

March 25, 2009

What can Brown salvage from the G20 Summit?

I am still struggling to see where this consensus the Prime Minister keeps talking about over fiscal stimuli and international agreement on future regulation is going to come from. His current mini-world tour in the run up to next week's London Summit doesn't seem to be getting him anywhere very fast. It is almost as if he is saying the same thing over and over again in an attempt to convince himself that everyone agrees with him but he is actually beginning to look very isolated.
The only clear consensus I can see among the UK, the US and the European Union is over the push for greater transparency on the part of tax havens and can easily imagine this being trumpeted as a major triumph in order to cover up the divisions elsewhere.
On regulation, it looks as if there is very little meeting of minds and, as I have said before in this blog, Europe is making the running here, although there is now some very tough talk emerging from the US too. So far, the UK hasn't put any specific proposals on the table so it is hard to see exactly where the expectations are being set for the summit.
When it comes to pumping even more public money into beleaguered economies, this message has gone down well enough in New York where the new administration has embraced this route with vigour but it is being met with a frosty reception on this side Atlantic. The main EU countries are not struck on this approach, although both France and Germany have indulged in some targeted public support, especially in the automotive sector.
It is at home where the support for this approach is collapsing. Yesterday, the Governor of the Bank of England made it clear that the central bank does not believe further extension of the public debt is sensible and, right on cue, the markets gave it a thumbs down today when they failed to fully support the gilt auction the the first time in seven years, an ominous sign that even if the government wanted to do more it simply won't be able to.
It is getting very hard to see where Gordon Brown is going to be able to take the G20 Summit.

March 31, 2009

Equitable Life battle lines become more entrenched

The fight for compensation for Equitable Life policyholders is becoming more embittered at every turn. Just take a look at the tactics and the language being used by both sides over the last couple of weeks.
First, the Public Administration Select Committee followed up its pre-Christmas report with a second report reviewing the government's response. In this it slammed the government response to its initial report and the proposals by the Parliamentary Ombudsman, Ann Abrahams, that the committee had endorsed, as "shabby, constitutionally dubious and procedurally improper".
This was followed up by a letter to all MPs from Ann Abrahams who made it clear that she will use the full range of powers in the 1967 Act that governs her office which provide that "if, after conducting and investigation, it appears that injustice has resulted from maladministration and that such an injustice has not been, or will not be, remedied, I may, if I think fit, lay before each House of Parliament a special report on the case". I cannot find an example of these powers having been used in the 40 years since the ombudsman was created.
This row then exploded onto the floor of the House of Commons last week during Treasury questions when the government's attempts to hide behind its commissioning of Sir John Chadwick to come up with a hardship payment scheme were heavily criticised by MPs. This provoked an angry outburst by the junior Treasury minister Ian Pearson: "I am very disappointed that the Public Administration Committee should chose to obscure the real help that it accepts the government's payments scheme will deliver ... seemingly driven by an uncritical acceptance of the findings of the ombudsman's report and by its unjustifiable and irresponsible characterisation of the manner of the government's repsonse". This comment was meet by a barrage of shouts of "shame" and "withdraw" from the opposition benches and a stoney silence from the Labour MPs behind him.
The government is isolated on Equitable Life and knows it. It seems to think that by playing a delaying game the problem will go away. The cynics suggest that it is simply waiting for the Equitable Life policyholders to die which is happening as many of them were obviously at retirement age when they took out their annuities in the early 1990s. More likely it is running scared of the implications of agreeing to compensate for regulatory failure with the prospect of years of scrutiny and investigation over its handling of the banking and credit crisis. It does not want to set any precedent that will prompt the shareholders and customers of Bradford & Bingley, Northern Rock, Royal Bank of Scotland ... the list goes on and on ... to think that the government will compensate them.
I honestly believe that had the banking crisis not occurred the government would have been more generous in its response to the ombudsman's report. It wouldn't have been so acquiescent in allowing the ombudsman to investigate if its intention was to virtually stonewall on all of her recommendations. However, it now does have to accept that this issue will simply not go away or die off and find a more constructive way of engaging with the ombudsman, MPs, the policyholders and Equitable life itself: trading insults will get it nowhere.
The ball is now back in the ombudsman's court with her special report due to be delivered to MPs and peers straight after the Easter recess.

April 2, 2009

ABI pitch for London-based regulator is a canny move as G20 meets

Well, they have arrived at Excel and within a few hours we will find out was has been agreed and what has not been agreed. It will no doubt take a forensic scrutiny of every word in the statements published by the G20 leaders to work out what has really happened. It will also trigger months of debate and negotiation over the detail of how to deliver what was agreed.
In this context, the comments the other day by Stephen Haddrill, the director general of the Association of British Insurers, making a pitch for any new pan-European regulator to be based in London seem rather shrewd. I am sure he has sensed the direction the debate about future regulation is taking accurately as we do seem to be heading towards an European regulator in the wake of the Larosiere Report and the strength of the Franco-German alliance on the need for tougher regulation yesterday gave further impetus to that move.
So, Mr Haddrill's approach of acknowledging the inevitability of a European regulator but then making a case for it to be based in London seems quite smart. What he is saying is that by basing in London we could ensure that it absorbs more of the UK approach of prudential regulation and avoids a lurch back to the pre-1992 system of product-based regulation  that was widespread on the continent and which has its strong supporters in Brussells, Paris and Berlin.
It is an interesting contribution to the debate.

April 3, 2009

G20 points to a new era of regulation - but by whom?

There will be hundreds of thousands of words written over the next few days analysing the outcome of yesterday's G20 Summit in London and I will be looking hard for an answer to this question: who is in charge of the new, tougher, regulation that has been promised?
The communique from the summit says that the Financial Stability Forum will be revamped into a Financial Stability Board and given new powers to oversee  (note, not regulate) banks and international markets. However, it also says that the International Monetary Fund should take a stronger role in supervising the world financial system. Are the seeds of conflict being sown here?
The communique from the summit certainly sets out a tough sounding manifesto for regulation and supervision but is too quiet on how that should be delivered. This probably leaves the door wide open for the European Union, with the strong backing of France and Germany, to pursue the agenda it has already set out in the Larosiere Report. This could create further conflict with the newly emboldened FSB and IMF.
Of course, another key point of interest to many of us will be how this will play out in the battlefield of domestic politics. Gordon Brown has won alot of praise for getting a consensus on so many points out of the summit, although he did fail on the major fiscal stimulus he was hoping for. This throws the focus back onto the Budget later this month. Without the extra help he was hoping for from the rest of the world and UK government spending already seriously over-committed, he has limited room for manoeuvre with time running out. The potential medium to long term benefits of the summit deal will not be enough to revive Labour's political fortunes. They need something that is going to make a major impact in the next 12 months if the Prime Minister's success on the international stage is to help him towards electoral success next year.

April 9, 2009

Is breaking up the RBS and Lloyds a good idea?

I am totally unconvinced by the new Conservative policy of breaking up the partially state-owned banks as their ownership is returned to the private sector. Shadow Chancellor George Osborne's speech advocating this earlier this week was full of glib phrases - "too big to fail but potentially too big to bail" - but desperately short on substance and an understanding of the consequences of pursing such a policy.
We need a banking sector that is fit for the modern world, one that will be increasingly global despite the current retrenchment by some multi-national corporations. I say "we" and I really mean Britain here. If British banks are too small to serve the needs of global corporations then they simply won't get the business and huge amounts of capital will flow out of the City of London and the UK economy. That will cause untold economic damage.
Mr Osborne also failed to say what he would do with the banks that remain wholly in private hands. Is he expecting the Financial Services Authority and the Bank of England to break them up? If they aren't broken up, how will he stop Barclays, HSBC, Santander and others outside the UK regulatory net buying up the nicely parceled-up mini-banks he will create with his privatisation programme?
Where he could have a point that would have been worth making - because the government is very quiet on this - is how do you return such huge state holdings to the private sector without de-stabilising the stock market and the banking sector? Timing will be one part of the answer but selling stakes off in digestible chunks will very likely be another. This lack of an properly thought out exit strategy is one area where the opposition should be scoring a few hits on the government.

April 20, 2009

Treasury Committee picks off its targets one-by-one

The Treasury Select Committee looks to be pursuing an interesting strategy when it comes to reporting on its in-depth inquiry into the causes of the banking crisis.
Usually Select Committees publish single reports at the end of such inquiries with recommendations for legislative action if appropriate. What the Treasury Select Committee is doing is publishing a series of reports focussing on specific issues. The first of these came out earlier this month and called for compensation for charities that lost money when the Icelandic banks collapsed but dismissed calls for local authorities to be similarly compensated. Why this piecemeal approach?
There seem to be two obvious answers to that question. The first is that the committee disagrees over some of the fundamental issues thrown up by the inquiry and has no hope of reaching an consensus on an all embracing overall report. The alternative explanation is that the members feel they will make more impact if they pick off the key areas of concern one-by-one. It seems this latter explanation is the more likely.
The tone of the committee's many public hearings on the banking crisis did not suggest that there were too many areas of fundamental party political disagreement over the key issues, certainly not enough to derail a report, although the huge challenge of getting agreement over all the topics that a wide-ranging report would cover shouldn't be under-estimated.I think the members have taken the view that they can make more impact and move faster by homing in on issues where they believe they can make a difference to the public and political debates.
I shall be looking out especially for the committee's response to the proposal that regulators should be able to impose restrictions on the press at times of financial crisis. I submitted a hard-hitting response to this proposal in behalf of Incisive Media which can be found on p141 of the published evidence: this should be read in conjunction with the evidence from the Periodical Publishers' Association which is on p178 as they were written to complement each other.

May 5, 2009

Banks could face a mutual future

The second installment of the Treasury Select Committee's report into the banking crisis is a 120 page blockbuster. Predictably, it doesn't pull many punches when it comes to apportioning blame and roundly condemns the banks and their managements for what it sees as their reckless behavior. However, it offers alot more than the now almost obligatory public flogging of the bankers.
It is a well structured dissection of the events, especially the many government interventions, as the crisis unfolded and engulfed the UK banks. Inevitably, it is slightly selective in places, largely determined by the impact that different witnesses had on the committee, but the banks - their present and former managements - are given a fair hearing in this report.
Like many Select Committee reports, it is longer on criticisms of what should and shouldn't have been done than it is on detailed solutions of its own but there is enough of the latter to suggest where it might drive the debate in future.
Among its key observations is the lack of clear strategic objectives from the government for the state owned and controlled banks. The committee points to several weaknesses that have already been exposed by this absence of strategic vision, such as the conflict between demanding greater lending but then asking for a 12% coupon on the preference shares it issued, but it only gets halfway to creating a vision of its own. Let me help them along by joining up some of the dots in their own report.
The committee is supportive of looking further at the Governor of the Bank of England's suggestion that in future there should be some separation of investment banking and retail banking. He stopped short of recommending a wholesale return to the rigidity of the US Glass Steagall Act [Following the Great Crash of 1929, the US Congress passed the 1933 Glass-Steagall Act which, among other measures, prohibited a bank holding company (a retail bank) from owning other financial institutions (such as investment banks).This provision was repealed in 1999.] The committee seems rather more enthusiastic about the idea and commends it for further consideration but doesn't say how such an objective might be achieved.
The report then goes on to bemoan the absence of an exit strategy from the state ownership and while it seems lukewarm about the prospect of deploying 1980s style privatisation to achieve this it doesn't put forward any firm proposals of its own. This could well be down to political differences in the all party committee which couldn't be resolved in time for publication of the report and may, indeed, be irreconcilable. However, further into the report two further recommendations could, if you join them all up, provide the answer to both the desire for separation of retail and investment banking and the need for a coherent exit strategy. 
The first of these is support for a rekindling of mutuality which the committee says should be encouraged through start-ups and remutualisations. The second is the suggestion that rather than blockbuster privatisations the return of the banks to the private sector could be done by selling them off in tranches. This makes sense otherwise you could end up creating some huge financial institutions that dominate the market and distort competition. Combine these two ideas and you have a creative solution to the problem: for the retail banking side of the nationalised banks create a series of mutuals (protected from takeover for a certain period so they have a chance to establish themselves) while for the wholesale operations look for sales by tender or privatistation to other investment banks. This would have to be underpinned by a new regulatory requirement to create some distance, if not total separation, between retail and wholesale banking. This could probably be done initially through a clever use of the promised new capital requirements and risk profiling. It would be dangerous for the UK to go unilaterally down the road to a new Glass-Steagall regime, although there is alot of support for the idea elsewhere in Europe and it even has its proponents in the United States. Using the capital requirements would be a quicker and more flexible solution that enforcing the separation by legislation, at least until we see how the rest of the world moves on this.
This report promises at least four or five further reports on other aspects of the crisis from the committee which, on the promise of the first two, will be well worth reading. I do wonder whether all the committee's fine words and, so far, sensible, if rather cautious, recommendations might not drown under the sheer volume of its own outpourings.

May 29, 2009

The EU is now out in front in the race to reform financial services regulation

It looks as if the initiative in reforming the regulation of the financial services sector has slipped out of Gordon Brown's grasp. For a brief moment after the G20 Summit in April the Prime Minister was setting the agenda and steering the world towards a co-ordinated but limited reform of regulation in the wake of the banking crisis. It has been some weeks now since he has uttered a word on this topic. In the meantime, the debate has moved on with the European Union forcing its ideas to the fore.
The European Commission this week whole-heartedly backed the Larosiere report, which proposes a new, pan-European, regulatory system that would transfer powers away from the FSA, especially for firms that operate in more than one member state. The UK has been very lukewarm about these proposals but looks increasingly isolated and ineffectual in its opposition. Many will see the failure to follow through on the initiatives announced at the G20 Summit as one of the casualties of the MPs' expenses scandal which has totally consumed the British body politic for the last three weeks. With the prospect of an autumn General Election growing by the day it seems that our attention will continue to be diverted while the EU turns these proposals into legislative reality.
There are a few unknown factors to take into account, however, which may influence the course of this debate. The first is the European elections next week. At the moment, support for the Laroisiere report seems to spread right across the political divide in the European Parliament: this could change. The second is the next installment of its report on the banking crisis from the Treasury Select Committee which is expected next week and will focus on regulation. If this gives its backing to the Financial Services Authority as the lynchpin of regulation then the debate about the direction of the European debate might gain new vigour. If, on the other hand and as seems more likely, the Select Committee casts doubt on the ability of the FSA, Bank of England and Treasury to be an effective regulatory force then the European proposals will look increasingly unassailable. 

June 16, 2009

Sweden lines up with UK in battle over Europe-wide regulatory reform

Perhaps the UK is not quite so isolated in the debate about the reform of financial services regulation in Europe as first appeared.
Sweden, which takes over the European Union presidency next month, is apparently lukewarm about the tough line being pursued by the EU and most major European governments. According to a report in The Guardian yesterday, the City minister Paul Myners, is off to Stockholm later this week after it emerged at the meeting of G8 finance ministers in Italy over the weekend that Sweden does not support a harsh, centralised regime for hedge funds, derivatives and private equity envisaged by the supporters of the Larosiere report, which has so far been the main reference point for the reform debate in Europe. This is probably because Sweden has a successful private equity sector that government and unions feel comfortable with and they fear that heavy-handed centralised regulation could stifle it.
I was struck by a certain naivete in FSA chairman Lord Turner's comments to The Guardian: "If one was absolutely confident that European supervision was going to be completely politics-free, in a neutral, technocratic fashion, we would be more relaxed about it". Politics-free? I don't think so. Vast sums of public money have been poured into the financial system and politicians and the public expect some accountability to go with the unprecedented response to the the business and regulatory failures that threw the world's financial system into chaos. We will be paying for this with cuts in public spending and high rates of inflation for most of the next decade so politics will play a very big part in the debate about the future of financial regulation.
Back to the European debate and it is going to be an interesting six months as the country that holds the presidency usually has alot of say over the priorities and the pace at which issues progress so you can see why Lord Myners is rushing off to smooth talk the Swedes. There is, however, pressure to maintain the pace of the reform programme and even the Financial Times lined up yesterday on the side of those who want swift, effective and lasting reform.

June 22, 2009

Irresponsible bankers will smile at the global regulatory reform chaos

The last week has seen a flurry of activity around the world on the regulatory front but I have a suspicion that the only people who will be really satisfied are the very people at whom the reforms are aimed - the institutions that caused the financial storms of the last year or so. As far as I see it, the United States and Europe have such fundamentally different approaches to this that it is hard to see any global regulatory consensus emerging, let alone concerted action to put in place a regulatory system that would prevent the near collapse of the western financial system again. We have to remember that we are only looking at a slightly calmer scene now because of the billions of public money poured into propping up the system and its institutions. As Sir Martin Sorrell observed on Radio 4 last Friday, the amount of public debt racked up dealing with this is equivalent to the cost of a major war and it should be inconceivable that no-one is held account for causing that war.

Let's start in the UK.

At the annual Mansion House Dinner in the City of London last week, we saw the government and the Bank of England at loggerheads over the path regulatory reform should take. One was pleading for very limited action, saying that we should just look to the boards of the banks and other financial institutions to take a longer term, more responsible view. The other argued for some tough action to ensure that we didn't create monsters that were "too big to fail", suggesting that there could be a Glass-Steagal like split of investment and retail banking. You might have thought the Governor of the Bank of England was the one arguing for just having a quiet word in the ears of the City grandees. You would be wrong. It was a Labour Chancellor of the Exchequer, talking in the wake of the worst financial and economic crisis in over 60 Years.

New Labour has always been in thrall to the City. It is one of the reasons why the credit bubble was allowed to grow so huge before bursting and why so many high risk products were allowed to corrode institutional balance sheets. Labour trusted the City, probably because it doesn't really understand it, and its whole approach to regulation has been to allow the City to get on with making money, naively it thought for the country. I have seen no clearer indication that this is a government that has run out of ideas, incapable of changing course even when its previous course took the country onto the rocks, than its failure to grasp the need for a radical overhaul of financial regulation and the failed tripartite system.

The day after this stunning public divergence between the government and the central bank in the UK, the Obama administration in the United States came out with its proposed reforms. I don't want to be too dismissive of such a complex plan but it is a mess. There seems to be a regulator for everything, a whole new tier of federal regulation to overlay the already cumbersome regulatory system that some parts of the financial sector, such as the insurance industry, have to contend with at state level. In some ways it is reminiscent of the UK's first stab at comprehensive regulation of the financial services sector with the 1988 Financial Services Act which spawned a real alphabet soup of narrow sector regulators. There is a certain sense of déjà vu in reading US commentators attacking the Obama plan on the same grounds. It will leave gaps and create opportunities for regulatory arbitragemand these will be exploited by those who don't want to be properly supervised.

In Europe, meanwhile, there seems to be a greater sense of purpose, even if couldn't look more different to the US approach if it tried.

The European Union wants to move to fewer, supranational regulators and has an ambitious plan for getting there. Despite UK doubts - opposition would probably be a more accurate description of the government's stance - this plan is edging ahead and was largely approved at the summit of EU leaders at the end of last week.

So far, despite fierce attacks on "Anglo-Saxon" attitudes to regulation and the contribution these have made to the crisis, EU leaders have been keen to keep the dissenting UK government on board and have made compromises around the chairmanship of the proposed new regulators to achieve this. To understand why they have done this you have to look at the wider political scene in Europe.

The EU needs to get the Lisbon Treaty ratified, a process that will probably take until the end of this year. The Labour government backs the treaty and has never been prepared to contemplate bowing to demands for it to be put to a referendum in the UK. The Tories oppose the treaty and have said that if it is not ratified if (or as they see it, when) they become the government, they will stop the ratification process, possibly putting the treaty to a referendum. This is a doomsday scenario as far as the rest of the EU is concerned so they are prepared to go quite a long way to making Gordon Brown's life as easy as possible to ensure he survives until the treaty is finally nailed down. While it is very hard to imagine a British government falling over a dust up in Europe on financial regulation, such is the febrile nature of British politics at the moment EU leaders are not prepared to contribute to the Prime Minister's discomfort and risk him being forced into an autumn General Election.

So, where does that leave the much vaunted desire of world leaders (as expressed at April's G20 Summit) to make sure we never have to go through the same crisis again? Frankly, it is desperately hard to tell but I still think that the most coherent and focused case for reform has been that made by the EU. The challenge they will face is translating that into a global plan.

Meanwhile, those most in need of a firm regulatory grip being placed on their collar will look at this huge divergence of approaches with a smug satisfaction.

 

 

June 25, 2009

Little progress on Equitable Life but pressure could build up to move the Treasury

The debate on Equitable Life in Westminster Hall yesterday ran along pretty predictable lines with MPs of all parties giving eloquent voice to the raw anger of their constituents over the length of time it is taking to get them any sort of compensation for the failure of Equitable Life. This was followed by further stone-walling on the part of the Treasury, this time in the shape of Sarah McCarthy-Fry who only found herself as a Treasury minister because Kitty Usher was forced to resign last week. I think it shows a degree of contempt for the Equitable Life policyholders on the part of the government that they send a different minister along every time this is debated, often to read out more-or-less the same speech as the previous minister.
There was some relief on the part of MPs that the high court judge appointed by the government to oversee the very limited "compensation" scheme it has announced, Sir John Chadwick, appears to have rejected means-testing policyholders in his first consultation paper. This is seen as a glimmer of hope that he will be adopting a commonsense approach, albeit within a woefully restricted remit.
Where there might be more hope for the policyholders is in the feeling that seemed to run through many of the contributions that the failure of the government to accept the recommendations of the Parliamentary Ombudsman on this is an issue that should be put to the vote in the House of Commons. There is an Early Day Motion on the topic put down by Vince Cable that has attracted the support of 275 MPs - a very high number for an EDM. In the new mood being fostered by the new Speaker who wants the government held to account by Parliament, there is a feeling that this motion should be pushed to a vote. I don't know how likely this is to happen and whether the government would be defeated if it did but it could be something for the Equitable Members Action Group to work on. If they do, they might look at how many Labour MPs they have on their side.
The debate yesterday was initiated by a Labour MP, Fabian Hamilton (NE Leeds), but only one other Labour MP spoke - Barry Gardiner (Brent North). Both spoke very well, balanced and with authority, but contrast that with seven Conservative contributions, eight Liberal Democrat speeches and even two out of the five Independent MPs. This apparent lack of interest among Labour MPs is probably encouraging the Treasury in its stubborn refusal to accept the Ombudsman's recommendations.

June 30, 2009

Flood defence spending and Thoresen review get legislative nod from Gordon Brown

The government has been very slow to put any flesh on the bones of the Prime Minister's statement on Building Britain's Future yesterday, in which he set out the draft legislative programme for the session that will start in November and finish early with the General Election, most likely in June next year.
Usually, a deluge of press notices flows forth from Whitehall with briefings on the bills announced in such speeches. So far, apart from housing, there has been virtually nothing on the dozen measures the Prime Minister promised. This shows that the announcement was brought forward and rushed out as Labour tries desperately to win back the political initiative.
So, what do we know about the programme that will affect the financial services sector? 
Most obviously, there is a Financial Services and Business Bill that will be the vehicle for delivering regulatory reform. Quite what that reform will look like is still a matter of a major debate but the short briefing from 10 Downing Street on the bill makes it clear that the government is sticking to its decision to give the Financial Services Authority greater powers "to ensure financial stability". This has already provoked an increasingly bitter confrontation with the Bank of England and is likely to be the most contentious measure in the draft legislative programme.
This bill will also create a new national money guidance service which follows on from the Thoresen Review (published in October 2007) and the pilot schemes currently being run offering generic advice.
Less contentious, but very welcome to the insurance industry, will be the Flood and Water Management Bill which promises "increased investment in flood defence and improved emergency planning and flood risk management". This sounds as if it should be everything the insurance industry wanted following the Pitt Report in the wake of the severe flooding two years ago. Of course, the devil will be in the detail but at least it is there to be argued about.
The big cloud that hangs over all of this is the uncertainty over the timing of the General Election and, of course, its outcome. The dozen bills announced yesterday could be forced through if this Parliament runs to next June but any foreshortening of the session or unforeseen political or financial crises (and there have been enough of those around in the last year) and the government will struggle to complete this programme.

July 6, 2009

Merricks departure as Financial Ombudsman leaves a very big hole to fill but a decent legacy

Walter Merricks' decision to step down as chief ombudsman at the Financial Ombudsman Service does, for once, merit the description of being the end of an era. He has been the only holder of that post in the ten years the organisation has been running, having held a similar position with the Insurance Ombudsman Bureau for some years before that. The IOB was merged into the FOS in the wake of the passing of the Financial Services and Markets Act and the creation of the Financial Services Authority.
He has done an exceptional job, although you will find critics both among consumer groups and industry sectors, especially independent financial advisers. Some consumer organisations have maintained a persistent criticism that the FOS was too close to the industries it adjudicated on while IFAs frequently lashed out at him for being a consumer champion. He was neither, although the figures in terms of the percentage of complaints upheld suggest that the consumer groups might have more justification for their criticism. If IFAs really feel Walter Merricks was a "consumer champion" they had better hope most fervently that they do not get a real champion of consumer rights as his successor.
Of course, not everything the FOS did was perfect or above but criticism but Walter Merricks was always aware of that and submitted his organisation to independent review on more than one occasion, most recently at the beginning of last year when Lord Hunt of Wirral was asked to make recommendations for improving the FOS. It was an admirably open and engaging exercise (to which the All Party Parliamentary Group on Insurance & Financial Services contributed one of the most substantial set of recommendations) and the changes that followed will ensure that the FOS remains fit for purpose for some years to come. That is not a bad legacy for Walter Merricks to leave.

July 8, 2009

Regulation of banks, building societies and insurers now looks to be a significant political battleground

The initial reaction to the Chancellor's announcement of a relatively tame and limited package of reforms of financial regulation has to be that the most significant aspect is actually the Tories' response. The Shadow Chancellor, George Osborne, told the House of Commons that an incoming Conservative government would scrap the tripartite regulatory system - FSA, Bank of England, Treasury - and replace it with a system where all prudential supervision of major financial institutions goes to the Bank of England, including banks, building societies and insurers. This would leave the Financial Services Authority as a "powerful regulator to protect consumers". Mr Osborne specifically said that it would have a brief "to stamp out unfair practices like mis-sold payment protection insurance and excessive bank charges".
This opens up a huge gulf between Labour and Conservatives on financial regulation as the centrepiece of Mr Darling's proposal is a further development (I hesitate to call it strengthening, although he did) of the tripartite system. This would see the Financial Services Authority retaining the principal role as the prudential regulator as well as taking on new powers to regulate hedge funds and other derivative products - at that level it would be a stronger system. Financial stability would rest with a new Council for Financial Stability, the tripartite arrangement re-invented. It is hard to see how that would work any better than the previous incarnation which failed to prevent last autumn's crisis.
The only common ground between the two major parties is over their hostility to the European Union propsoals embodied in the Larosiere Report. Both see this as potentially damaging to the UK and the City of London in particular and favour a much less prescriptive model of global co-operation. There is an element of heads in the sand over this as the EU is making  a massive land grab on the regulatory front and may have its new institutions up an running before the dust has settled on the next General Election in the UK.
The big danger in this is that the political uncertainty will actually cripple the current system, with the FSA unable to restructure and recruit, the Bank not able to develop its role and the Treasury sitting on the sidelines with civil servants not keen to do too much work that will be wasted should there be a change of government.

July 14, 2009

Vince Cable's book The Storm is worth reading for a real insight into the causes and consequences of the financial crisis


The Storm: The World Economic Crisis and What it Means is a breathtaking tour of economic policy that amply demonstrates why Vince Cable has eclipsed all other politicians with his response to the financial and economic crises of the last two years.
He puts our current problems in an historical and political context that helps the reader understand how we came so close to financial meltdown during the autumn of 2008. His almost effortless grasp of economic theory and policy can almost dazzle the reader at times and there isn't a page in this book that doesn't impart a fresh insight into the issues. Perhaps his greatest achievement is to pack so much in and yet always keep it accessible to the interested layperson, even if you do occasionally find yourself having to re-read a couple of pages because you haven't quite kept up with his relentless analysis.
True to form, he doesn't offer any glib, easy conclusions but lays out the challenges intelligently with emphasis on global action to tackle systemic risk while ensuring we do not fall into the trap of narrow economic nationalism or don the straitjacket of state capitalism.

July 16, 2009

Banking reform: reports galore promised over the next couple of weeks but will they get us any further foward?

Those following the debate about reform of the regulation for the banking and financial services sector are promised a wheelbarrow load of reports over the next couple of weeks: plenty of summer holiday reading.
Today, we will see the report from Sir David Walker regarding the banking governance. This promises to attract alot of headlines and comment but, if the leaks about it are correct, offer very little of genuine substance. It will suggest better 'training' for directors, more 'powers' for non-executives in particular to challenge management decisions and more 'transparency' over pay and bonuses. This doesn't seem to amount to much to me. Indeed, it offers little more than a description of what we have at the moment.
Did the directors of Royal Bank of Scotland really lack experience and knowledge of banking and the other financial services sectors that formed the core of RBS's business? Just what training could have equipped them better? Did they really not understand that a board of directors can out-vote a strong chief executive if it has a mind to? David Walker's report is going to have to go alot further than that if it is really to impress anyone.
As to transparency over pay, I am not convinced this alone will be of much benefit. Has the huge media coverage of Goldman Sach's likely bonuses payments this year changed anything? It isn't transparency that is the issue, it is the far more complex relationship between risk and reward and the potentially distorting effect of excessive incentives that is the crux of of the issue. Dealing with that is not about transparency but about how far we want regulators to control remuneration.
Inevitably, the European Union seems to have grasped this latter point as it continues its huge assault on the regulatory scene. Its latest report links remuneration to the new capital structures it would like to impose on banks and financial institutions and these capital structures, in turn, are linked to the risk that the institutions are potentially exposed to. This seems much more likely to be the real battleground for the debate about remuneration and incentives than mere transparency.
Then we mustn't forget the Treasury Select Committee. This has been strangely quiet in recent weeks but is promising up to three new reports before the end of the month, one of them dealing with the outstanding issues from its major inquiry into the causes and consequences of the banking crisis, namely regulatory reform. The committee has taken a long run at producing this report, giving it the luxury of seeing what others here in Europe and the USA have proposed. It could have a major impact on the course of the debate.
The real danger - and this is a slightly cynical point of view - is that the contradictory approaches advocated by all these reports will lead to a reform paralysis which will be exploited by those who do not want any new rules, controls or restrictions imposed on what they do. That is simply not an option. Governments may have been able to prop up a collapsing banking system once but they cannot afford to do it twice so we must find a way of ensuring that it is never allowed to hurl itself towards the cliff-edge again.

July 24, 2009

Treasury Select Committee has its say on regulatory reform

The Treasury Select Committee is promising a blizzard of reports over the next week, including its much-awaited verdict on reform of the financial regulatory system next Friday (31 July). The first reports are out this morning and should have a major influence on the debate in the UK.
  • Banking Crisis: International Dimensions, Eleventth Report, to be published at 11.00am on Friday 24 July
  • Evaluating the Efficiency Programme, Thirteenth Report, to be published at 00.01am on Tuesday 28 July
  • Banking Crisis: regulation and supervision, Fourteenth Report, to be puublished at 00.01am on Friday 31 July
  • Mortgage arrears and access to mortgage finance, Fifteenth Report, to be published at 00.01am on Saturday 8 August
  • Banking Crisis: dealing with the failure of the UK banks: Government, UK Financial Investments Ltd and Financial Services Authority Responses to the Seventh Report from the Committee, to be published at 11.00am on Friday 24 July
  • Banking Crisis: reforming corporate governance and pay in the City: Government, UK Financial Investments Ltd and Financial Services Authority Responses to the Ninth Report from the Committee, to be published at 11.00am on Friday 24 July.
These reports have been an unusually long time in coming. Whether that means there have been some tough debates in the committee and some difficult compromises made we will know shortly. The chances are that the committee chair, John McFall, has got his way and they will be tough and straightforward in their conclusions. Obviously, key areas to look at are going to be the committee's views on the tripartite regime, the degree to which it thinks remuneration should be controlled, its attitude to capitalisation and Glass-Steagall like separation of investment and retail banking and the role of European and international institutions.

July 31, 2009

Treasury Select Committee plays a long game

The long-awaited report from the Treasury Select Committee on the future of financial regulation seems to have disappointed some people.  I think they need to look a little harder at what John McFall's committee is saying. Just because it doesn't offer its own blueprint for the future of regulation doesn't mean that it won't influence what emerges or that it has ducked the issues. It is playing a longer game.
There should be relief that it hasn't thrown yet another permutation of regulatory over-sight into the mix. As it points out, there are almost too many views on how to shift the various functions around, not just here in the UK but in the European Union and the United States as well. What the report says is, 'Hang on a minute. Do we actually know what we are going to be regulating and have we got a clear idea of where responsibility for strategic decisions and executive action lies?'. This is the crux of the problem about the regulatory debate at the moment. It has all the feel of a group of blind people running around with sticking plasters trying to find the right holes to stick them on. No-one - apart from some in the EU (and Vince Cable) - seems to be asking how we can stop the holes appearing in the first place.
Mr Cable's point is similar to the committee's. He doesn't believe there is much point in creating a debate about regulatory structures until we have decided on how we want the banking sector to be reconstituted when the nationalised banks are returned to the private sector. In particular, Vince Cable and John McFall both want the "too big to fail" question addressed.
The select committee is also lukewarm about the debate on capital structures. Mr McFall dismissed alot of the proposals for matching capital to risk as mere "tweaking" and said that we musn't rule out legislation to separate out the riskier functions, thereby raising the spectre of the UK adopting something along the lines of the old US Glass-Steagall Act introduced after the Great Crash in 1929 and repealed by the Clinton administration in 1999. This threat will not go down well with many bankers.

August 24, 2009

EU gets ready for G20 regulation debate

We are just a month away from the next G20 Summit which is due to take place in Pittsburgh on 24-25 September and yet you would hardly know it was happening. Unlike the last G20 summit in London in April which had a long high profile build-up, especially in the UK, the Pittsburgh summit is almost creeping up on us unnoticed. Except in the labyrinthine corridors of European Union power that is.
There is no agenda yet for the G20 meeting but its main topics will be restoring confidence in financial markets and setting up new structures for their supervision. The meeting will also tackle the vexed questions of whether and how to scale back the economic stimulus packages and the huge expansion of the money supply undertaken by some countries. The EU is already busy preparing for this and readying itself to push its own extensive agenda of regulatory reform.
While the UK government has been on holiday and the Obama administration in the US distracted by the healthcare debate, the EU has been laying plans for the G20 summit, led by the Swedish presidency. It has arranged an informal meeting of EU finance ministers for 2 September, followed by a two day meeting of finance ministers in London on 4-5 September. It is due to decide later this week whether it will hold a formal meeting of the EU leaders the week after the finance ministers.
The Swedes are trying to play down all this pre-summit manoeuvering by saying that it wants to ensure that the EU states that are not attending the G20 summit are fully informed about the agenda and are able to comment on the approach the EU should take. In reality what it wants to do is to create a very powerful common position on its regulatory reform agenda as set out in the Larosiere report and, if the French and Germans get their way, agree a tough line against the sort of huge government support for the financial sector and the economy that the UK and US governments have undertaken. It will be an interesting few weeks of summitry.

August 28, 2009

Turner's bank tax call: Is FSA boss playing a clever political game over bankers' bonuses?

Crazy or astute? Reaction to Lord Turner's call yesterday for a tax on banking transactions almost instantly polarised opinion. The Financial Services Authority chairman's call for a so-called Tobin Tax certainly came out of the blue and it dramatically raised the stakes in the debate about bank bonuses, the role of modern-day investment banking and the future of regulation, globally that is, not just in the UK.
Lord Turner is no mug. He is not given to make off the cuff remarks (certainly not in interviews with influential political magazines such as Prospect) and he is not naive when it comes to the ways of his political masters. So, those who have reacted, like Boris Johnson, with the "he must be bonkers" line are a long way wide of the mark. This is a carefully considered attempt to shift the focus of the debate about the future of regulation and to test whether there really is any political will to tackle the way the banking sector operates and remunerates itself.
The FSA has come under fire from all sides for not doing enough in the run-up to the financial crises of the last two years and, more recently, Lord Turner attracted criticism for being too weak in his proposals for toughening up regulation of the banking sector. There is only so much that any regulator can do, however, without the wholehearted backing of government and that is the real message behind his Tobin Tax proposal. He has put the ball right back in the centre of the politician's court and they don't like the look of it one bit. The government has been struck into dumb silence (a widespread summer curse in Downing Street it seems) at the shock of this ball being lobbed over their fence. The Tories took one look at it yesterday and booted it as far away as they could, not even stopping to think where it might land and the consequences for their policies. The Liberal Democrats looked at it abit more cautiously and kicked it around but generally didn't like the look of it. To sum up the political reaction in the UK it seems to be: "What? You expect us to do something about the banks? Not likely".
Beyond these political circles, Lord Turner's comments seem to be playing out well. His observation that parts of the financial sector have "grown beyond a socially reasonable size" chime well with the public perception of the sector and, although the details of how the proposed taxes would operate might not interest them, the principle certainly looks right.
In Europe they promise to be very influential over the next few weeks. With the French and Germans already keen on finding ways of bringing the banking sector to heel, especially the Anglo-American institutions they blame for causing the credit crunch, Lord Turner's remarks will be like music to their ears and will be thrown back at Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling at the series of summits taking place next month.

September 9, 2009

Competition Commission should stick to its guns over PPI sales ban

The news that Barclays has had the front to push ahead with its challenge to the Competition Commission's seven day ban on selling payment protection insurance alongside a loan or a credit card astounded me. I think this is real proof that the culture of the major banks is stubbornly stuck in a discredited past.
There was a grim inevitability around the re-emergence of high bonuses. I thought they might leave a more decent period between bringing the financial system to its knees and being propped up by huge handouts from governments (directly and indirectly through quantitative easing before anyone fro Barclays squeals that they don't have any public ownership) before they rushed to line their own pockets with a generosity that most people can only dream of. But there seems to be such a determined attempt by the markets and the financial institutions that serve them to demonstrate a collective amnesia that they have moved with indecent haste. But returning to the bad old days of PPI miss-selling is quite another matter.
We will only suffer indirectly as a consequence of high bonuses through more expensive loans, higher taxes and so on but each miss-sold PPI policy has an immediate victim, often a family that ill-afford to discover that they have bought a worthless product just at the moment they need it most. That there was widespread miss-selling there can be no doubt: there is equally little doubt that much of it could have been prevented if the regulators had moved faster and listened to the people who had to sell the PPI cover - the bank counter and call centre staff that Barclays is so keen should head up a new push into this area.
Three or four years ago I sat through a presentation to MPs by the finance sector trade unions at which they were adamant that the only way staff in banks and building societies could meet the targets being set for them on PPI sales was to sell the policies to people who didn't need them or who wouldn't qualify for the cover if they tried to claim. You might ask why was this allowed to carry on, a very good question. The answer seems to be that the banks and insurance companies were making alot of easy money out of it and the regulators were asleep.
The banks do not deserve a second chance on this one.

September 17, 2009

EU hedge fund debate is getting an injection of commonsense

The European Union's headlong rush to be seen to be tough on hedge funds - which many in Europe find an easy target to blame for the financial turmoil of the last couple of years - is being  slowed down. The debate on the Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive (AIFMD) has so far generated rather more heat than light with alot of misguided lobbying from the City of London, epitomised by Boris Johnson's high profile sortie to Brussels. What he, and many in the City, fail to understand is that the supporters of the directive as it currently stands just rub their hands with a ghoulish relish when people complain that it will damage London: that is precisely the point of it as far as many in France, Germany and elsewhere are concerned. They see hedge funds and their various high risk cousins as lying at the heart of the reckless risk culture that brought once famous financial institutions to their knees.
Fortunately, some wiser voices are being heard in this debate.
As expected the Swedish presidency of the EU is taking a rather more measured and co-ordinated approach to the complex issues arising out of the global financial crisis. The pre-G20 summit meeting of EU leaders is part of that more thoughtful approach. The Swedes have realised that crudely attacking London will damage the whole EU and that the AIFMD as it currently stands would effectively prevent any EU citizen, pension fund or investor getting access to a very wide range of offshore funds (and offshore is where they would go under these proposals). Consequently, last week the Swedes told members states that they would prepare a modified version of the directive for discussion at the EU meeting on 22 September, prior to the G20 summit two days later in Pittsburgh.
A similarly conciliatory view is being taken by the new chair of the important European Parliament Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee, Sharon Bowles, a UK Liberal Democrat. She criticised EU regulators for their "impatience and need to be seen to be doing something", adding that many of the issues that have caused problems in the past are already being addressed by national regulators such as the UK Financial Services Authority.
This does not mean that hedge fund managers can sit back and think nothing will change. There will be new rules, and it is unclear still whether these will be dictated by national regulators, Europe or through the sort of co-ordinated global action that is likely to emerge from the G20 summit. They are likely to be quite tough rules too. However, they will not now be framed in such a way as to "punish" London and New York.

September 28, 2009

At last the mutuality debate gets underway, starting with Northern Rock

As bankers' bonuses grab the headlines and the European Union and G20 battle it out over who is leading the way in reshaping financial regulation, the debate about when and how to return the nationalised banks to the private sector is at last getting underway.
This is going to present huge challenges and not a few opportunities. The biggest opportunity is to promote a reshaping of ownership and competition in the banking sector, the surest way of creating a future that looks significantly different from the immediate past. Introducing greater diversity of ownership and extending competition will do more to deliver the almost universally shared objective of not allowing a return to the market structures and conditions that drove the financial markets to the edge of collapse just a year ago than any amount of new regulation.
I wrote how a fresh look at mutuality as an option for de-nationalising the banks should be high on the agenda when the Treasury Select Committee commented positively on this option in its major report earlier this year. Now the concept has been given some intellectual credibility by the publication of report by Professor Jonathan Michie of Oxford University. He focusses on Northern Rock and calls for it to be mutualised rather than just returned to the private sector and has won immediate support from John McFall, chairman of the Treasury Select Committee.
These ideas deserve serious consideration. I was surprised that something along these lines didn't feature at the recent Liberal Democrat conference as it would have been an ideal way for them to start to differentiate themselves from the other parties, especially the Labour Party which they say they want to replace as the main party of the left. It may be that Labour will themselves be able to use such ideas to differentiate themselves from the Conservatives as the election approaches and this issue gets more pressing: mutuality has deep roots in Labour through its very long association with the co-operative movement.
For now, we should just be grateful to Professor Michie for developing the arguments about the role of mutual institutions in a re-shaped banking sector.

October 9, 2009

So many of the big issues for financial services were overlooked at the party conferences, although Cameron did remember at the last minute

I have watched, waited, searched and searched again for signs that our three main political parties are looking for answers to some of the key issues surrounding the future of the financial services sector. My wait appears to have been just about in vain.
Sure, there was lots of bluster about bankers' bonuses at the Labour and Liberal Democrat conferences but this barely amounted to more than cheap headline grabbing and beyond some pretty obvious proposals about linking bankers' remuneration to longer term performance, they barely scratched the surface of that debate.
I had expected the main parties to stake out some distinctive territory on at least two of the key issues that loom large as a result of the financial crises of the last two years and last autumn's cataclysmic events in particular.
The first is the failure of elaborate systems of regulation to predict, prevent or adequately respond to the crises. There is a fierce debate raging around the world about how we can regulate the financial services sector better. It has been on the agenda at the last two G20 Summits world leaders consider it that important. Yet, it seemed to find no place on the agendas of the party conferences at least, that is, until it belatedly got a mention in David Cameron's speech to the Conservative Party conference yesterday. He slipped in a brief mention of the Tories' plans to transfer the main regulatory burden to the Bank of England, condemning Labour's no change stance on the way. We are still in the dark over exactly how the Financial Services Authority will be split up between the Bank of England and the proposed Consumer Protection Agency  but at least we know it is still on their agenda.
The other issue the next government will not be able to duck is what to do with the state owned financial institutions, yet no-one seemed prepared to address this. Part of the public anger over bankers' bonuses is the lack of understanding of the difference between ownership and control. The government has tried to separate the two, taking ownership but choosing not to exercise control: the public believes control follows ownership as night follows day.
This is an area where there is an opportunity for creative policymaking, not least when you consider how to tackle the challenge of returning some of these state owned assets to the private sector - which the next government will have to start doing at sometime. Just consider some of the options: the state could take control and use that to create new forms of socially useful financial products (if you follow Lord Turner's analysis), it could break them up to set the banking sector on a path away from the "too big to fail" destination we seem to have reached in the last decade, it could insist on new forms of ownership (based on mutuality) as they are de-nationalised or it could go for high profile privatisations just designed to pour money back into the public purse. You can see quickly the potential for staking out distinctive political territory with policies of real substance.
It will be impossible for the parties to continue to ignore these issues as we go into 2010 and they start drawing up their election manifestoes. It seems a shame that they all missed the opportunity to start a genuine debate during the party conference season.

October 14, 2009

John McFall puts the "too big to fail" issue on the political agenda and John Greenway bows out

Interesting to see that the Treasury Select Committee chairman, Labour MP John McFall, has tabled an Early Day Motion (no 2008) in the House of Commons calling for the big banks - those deemed 'too big to fail' to be broken up.
This is an issue that will not go away and nor should it. There is simply too much moral hazard in having institutions that know they can take almost any risks they like because the state simply cannot let them go under if they screw up. It forms part of the overall theme of Mr McFall's approach to the turmoil of the last couple of years which he set out at last night's Parliamentary Reception for the Post Magazine Business Leaders Forum - neatly summed up as things have to change and change significantly. In Mr McFall's view there is no going back to the old ways. This means, he argues, as well as breaking up some banks, there cannot be a return to the bonus culture of old, especially while there is so much public money slushing around the banking system, and that the sector should also be expected to devote more attention to addressing financial exclusion.
Last night's reception was also notable for being the last that will be hosted by John Greenway for Post Magazine. He hosted the first, very modest, reception we organised in one of the smaller dining rooms at the House of Commons at the end of 1989 to launch the Post Magazine 150th anniversary celebrations that ran through 1990. When we came back for the second reception the following autumn we were ready to launch the All Party Parliamentary Group on Insurance & Financial Services, of which John was a founding member. When the late Sir Bob McCrindle stood down at the 1992 General Election, John was elected as chair of the group, a post he still holds. John announced three years ago that he would be standing down at the next election.

October 29, 2009

EU offers best hope of RDR delay and rethink but banks special pleading doesn't go down well

Up to now, I have been extremely skeptical about the prospects of delaying or substantially altering the Financial Services Authority's Retail Distribution Review. The whoops of delight from many independent financial advisers when the Conservatives announced their intention to abolish the FSA and split its responsibilities between the Bank of England and a new Consumer Protection Agency seemed to me to be naive. There has just been too much miss-selling of financial products over the last 20 years for an overhaul of sales processes, clarification of status and reform of remuneration not to be necessary.
The RDR, however, is far from perfect and alot of those imperfections were aired at a packed meeting of the All Party Parliamentary Group on Insurance & Financial Services yesterday afternoon. Committee Room 17 in the House of Commons was full. Over a dozen MPs and Peers from all three main parties were there (more than you get at many Select Committee hearings) and the public gallery was full of interested observers, including political researchers, trade associations, companies and the press. This is an issue that engages alot of people.
Presenting their views on the RDR where Which?, the British Bankers Association and the Association of Independent Financial Advisers and, as you would expect, there were plenty areas of disagreement which will be well reported elsewhere. Two points seems worth pulling out at this stage, however.
Firstly, the BBA put in its plea for a new term to replace the proposed category of "restricted advice" which describes those firms that offer only a limited product range, often just their own. It complained that this is a pejorative term that could put off consumers. This view found little favour among the MPs and Peers, summed up well by the Labour Peer Lord (David) Lipsey who said: "The superiority of the independent advice remit must be made clear to consumers ... you are lucky that you haven't been told to call it sales because that is what it really is".
Secondly, the prospects for a wider review of the details and timetable for the 2012 implementation of RDR drew a surprising cross-party consensus and this centres on Europe. There is already confusion surrounding the details of the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MIFID) and the issues that are causing concern are likely to be further muddied as the promised review of the workings of the Insurance Mediation Directive (IMD) kicks in next year. As the group's chairman John Greenway pointed out, it is only the UK that has this sharp regulatory separation between life and general insurance and whatever Europe decides to do in reviewing the IMD will have an impact on the retail financial services sector. So, he argued, we should wait until that review takes place before firming up the RDR. This view was strongly endorsed by the leading Liberal Democrat Peer Lord Clement-Jones and the group's Labour deputy chair, Baroness Turner.
What was impressive was to hear from AIFA that it has sent a delegation to Brussels recently, showing that it understands how these complex multi-national political processes work. They came back with the view that the European Commission stills views MIFID as "embyonic" and is looking to the review of IMD to inform the MIFID debate. The dots are being joined up and, as they are, it looks as if the future of the RDR is rather more in the melting pot than some of us initially thought.

November 23, 2009

Plenty to keep the insurance industry occupied in Parliament's final session but what will make it over the finishing line?

The political arguments about the Queen's Speech might still be raging but my plea to the insurance industry is not to be fooled by those into failing to have a good look at what is coming up in Parliament in the next few months. There is an easy trap looming for those inclined to dismiss the the government proposals set out last week as more of an election manifesto than a serious legislative programme. Fall into that trap and you will overlook some bills of major importance to the insurance industry.
Top of that list must be the Flood and Water Management Bill which enacts most of the proposals put forward by Sir Michael Pitt following the serious flooding in the West Country, Yorkshire and Humberside in 2007. This will shoot to the top of the agenda after last week's terrible flooding in Cumbria. Looking through the summary of the main provisions in the bill, it looks as if the insurance industry will be pretty comfortable with what the government is putting forward. The danger will come from attempts to add to it as it goes through Parliament. There is, for instance, a head of steam building up around the National Flood Forum's campaign to force insurers to offer significant premium discounts to householders who install their own flood defences and I expect this to be raised as the bill goes through Parliament.
Also of importance to insurers will be the continuing debate around the Equality Bill and the possibility of specific statutory requirements being imposed on the travel insurance market to prevent age discrimination. This Bill didn't complete its Parliamentary passage in the last session and has been re-introduced with its final House of Commons debate scheduled for 2 December. From there it will go to the House of Lords where travel insurers can expect to be attacked for the scarcity and cost of cover for the over-70s.
It will be impossible to ignore the Financial Services Bill which aims to deliver the government's promises to make the tripartite system more effective by creating a Council for Financial Stability, impose statutory controls on bankers' pay and improve systems for consumers claiming compensation for the failure of institutions or individual products. Among the proposals for better consumer protection are an extension of the remit of the Financial Services Compensation Scheme and a new provision to allow a single representative case to go to court to establish the liability and scope of failure of a product, advice or regulation. Many of the debates on the bill will be high profile as the three main parties attempt to stake out distinctive territory on the future of financial regulation, the City and bankers' pay. That does not mean that there will not be some devil in the detail.
A further piece of legislation for the insurance industry to keep an eye on will be the Civil Law Reform Bill. This is being introduced as a draft bill which means that it is unlikely to make it to the statute book before the General Election. It does, however, contain alot to interest the insurance industry including new proposals for assessing damages following fatal accidents and the long promised reforms of insurance contract law for personal lines promised by the Law Commission.
If this wasn't a long enough agenda a private members' bill has been introduced into the House of Lords by the Labour peer Baroness Quin to make it law to award compensation for pleural plaques. It isn't clear as yet how far this is likely to progress but it has already been given an unopposed first reading and is waiting for a date for a more detailed debate. This will be a difficult one for the insurance industry and will need all the Association of British Insurers' experience and skills in lobbying to put the case against the bill without attracting too much criticism for insensitivity and callousness.
This is a long list of important pieces of legislation that will require alot of input from the insurance industry to ensure that it gets what it wants. It may also find that it has to bid a retreat on some issues, such as age discrimination and travel insurance, if it is not to find itself at loggerheads with public opinion or in the uncomfortable position of attempting to defend the indefensible. The biggest danger, however, is that much of this legislation might be passed in great haste and be poorly drafted as a result. When Gordon Brown finally names the day for the General Election this will initiate frantic negotiations between the parties' business managers to decide which legislation gets forced through in what will then be barely a week left of Parliamentary sittings. This usually means that huge chunks of legislation get passed without any debate or proper scrutiny - inevitably some of that is flawed. It is a very unsatisfactory way of dealing with important issues.

November 30, 2009

UK financial services is now a clear EU target

There is only one way to sum up the shake-up in the European Commission portfolios from a UK perspective - we were totally stuffed. We lost out lock, stock and barrel, leaving the UK financial services sector looking very exposed to attack from those who believe that its free-market 'Anglo-Saxon' approach to regulation and market behavior lies at the heart of the financial crises of the last two years.
The upshot of the government's mishandling of the discussions about the distribution of key EC portfolios is that the UK is in the weakest position in the EU since it joined in 1973.
It all started with the misguided promotion of Tony Blair as a candidate for the new post of permanent president of the commission. A survey of the European press will show all too clearly that the only people who took this seriously were 10 Downing Street and the Daily Mail - it was a non-starter as far as the rest of Europe was concerned. Having woken up late in the day to the fact that the Blair campaign was doomed to failure, Gordon Brown then focussed on the other new post covering foreign affairs. There was a false start with the attempt to put forward David Milliband as a candidate but he had the sense to see that this was potentially a political backwater and refused to have anything to do with it. But the UK government had convinced itself that this was a deserved consolation prize for not getting the presidency and was being encouraged in this thinking by France and Germany. So, step forward Lady Ashton whose best qualification for the job seems to be that she has taken a few foreign holidays.
Having sold the UK a pup, the French and Germans then had the field to themselves in carving up the key economic portfolios and so Frenchman Michel Barnier ended up in the internal market and financial services beat with a clear mandate to focus on the City of London. The Germans wanted, and got, energy.
Lining up alongside Barnier in the other economic portfolios will be two liberals - Finland's Olli Rhen (trade) and Karel de Gucht of Belgium (economic and financial affairs) - neither of whom can be expected to be slow in supporting tougher regulation of financial markets. To complete this gloomy picture is the appointment of a Spanish socialist - Joaquin Almunia - as competition commissioner.
It looks as if the UK's financial services sector will have to look outside the Commission for support and is likely to find itself increasingly reliant on the European Parliament to get its voice heard which will make the role of UK Liberal Democrat MEP Sharon Bowles even more important to the City than it was before. She chairs the parliament's economic and monetary affairs committee which has to approve any Commission proposals on financial regulation before they can be passed into EU law. In her few months in the post she has proved a safe and sensible pair of hands when it comes to the rushed attempts to force through new regulations on hedge funds. I imagine quite a few public affairs departments in the City will be looking her up this week.

January 22, 2010

Obama bank plan puts UK on the defensive and EU in the shade

Barak Obama has clearly run out of patience, not just with Wall Street but with other governments and financial regulators around the world. His shock announcement yesterday of a a radical new regulatory regime for the banking sector has obviously been brewing for a long time and, one imagines, has been discussed, at least in principle, with other governments in the G20.
The loss of a vital Senate seat to the Republicans in Massachusetts earlier this week galvanised President Obama into action. You can't help wondering if he had made this announcement on Monday whether the Democrats would have held on to the Massachusetts seat such has been the favourable reception of this plan on what the Americans refer to as Main Street.
The banks loved the idea that the G20 countries would only move on major regulatory reform by agreement because they knew that such agreement would be very hard to come by. President Obama has now made it clear that he is not prepared to wait for ever for such agreement to emerge - with the threat that it would be a watered down compromise when it did. Also, he needed to act after the Senate setback was followed up by Goldman Sachs' bullish bonus announcement. Flaunting their bonus billions in the face of Main Street was a pretty inept move.
I don't want to dwell on the detail of the plan devised by Paul Volckler or look at its impact on the sector but, instead, consider some of the broader political implications.
As I have already said, the coverage from the US today suggests that it will go down well and should do alot to boost the President's approval ratings. Whether that, in turn, helps him with his healthcare reforms remains to be seen but I would expect to see him closely associated with these proposals as they work their way through Congress.
In the UK, it has made the Labour government look even weaker. The attempts of the City minister Lord Myners today to suggest that the US plans are just a different way of achieving what the UK government has set out to do look very flimsy. They clearly go way, way beyond what the UK government has proposed and will lead to many people asking why the UK can't be as tough. Already, after a little wobble this morning, the Tories have lined up behind the principle, but not necessarily the detail, of the US plans and the Liberal Democrats, who will hold the crucial balance in a hung Parliament, have given them a ringing endorsement. Both opposition parties are strongly in favour of a split between investment and retail banking as a pre-requisite of major reforms.
Looking into the European Union, this will make some of the proposals it has been contemplating so far look a little timid and that will not be what the new Commission wants, especially Michel Barnier, the new French commissioner in charge of the internal market and financial services. He has come in amid a blaze of threats about punishing those who contributed so much to the current economic woes of the world. I can't imagine he will be too happy at the Americans looking and acting tougher than the EU so expect so action when the new Commission begins work in earnest in the middle of next month.
In short, President Obama has probably unleashed a wave of even tougher regulatory reform around the world by leading from the front rather than waiting for a limited consensus.

Reblog this post [with Zemanta]

February 9, 2010

Sants' departure from the FSA clears the way for reform of regulation

The surprise announcement this morning by the chief executive of the Financial Services Authority, Hector Sants, that he will leave by the summer presents a golden opportunity to re-model the way financial services regulation is delivered in this country. With a relatively new chairman in Lord Turner and now a new chief executive in the offing there will be little temptation on anyone's part to defend the regulatory status quo regardless of who wins the forthcoming General Election.
Few people will mourn Sants' departure. 
For many he will be tainted with being asleep on watch as banks collapsed around him, starting with the unedifying sight of people having to queue in the streets for hours to take out their money from Northern Rock and continuing with the failure to spot that risk management was failing catastrophically in parts of the markets he was meant to regulate. While missing the real problems, the FSA was busy annoying independent financial advisers and brokers with its Retail Distribution Review and a raft of potentially burdensome regulations. Those are both probably slightly harsh judgements but that is how many will see his three years in charge.
What is probably more interesting is the future. Some of the coverage of his resignation has been very misleading, suggesting that the Conservatives want to abolish the FSA and merge most of what it does into a revamped Bank or England regulatory department. This is only half of the story. The other part of it is the creation of a Consumer Protection Agency that will regulate most of the retail financial services sector, including IFAs and insurance brokers. Where and how the boundary between the Bank and the CPA will be drawn is not very clear and this is the major fault line running through the Tory plans. 
Should they win the election, my guess is that the Tories will like the look and sound of Lord Turner with his stinging criticisms of socially useless financial products and give him a key role in reshaping regulation. They will then be looking for someone to head up the CPA with - remember - a brief to protect consumers, not look after practitioners. That person wouldn't have been Hector Sants, so he has been wise to depart on his terms now.
If the Tories fail to win then we will probably find ourselves in the area of a hung Parliament with the Liberal Democrats calling some of the shots. They have criticised the Conservative proposals and favour beefing up the current regime, aligning it more closely with what is coming out of the European Union (albeit that much of that is up for grabs too). Labour wants to strengthen the existing tripartite arrangement (FSA, Bank and Treasury) and ensure better co-ordination between the three. Both these approaches again probably leave Lord Turner in position but with a more consumer-facing chief executive of the FSA (which will make it feel like a CPA but without the name change and all the uncertainty). What will that person look like is the million dollar question.
With bankers currently not enjoying the highest approval ratings from Joe Public it seems unlikely that anyone who has spent a large part of their career in the banking sector is going to be considered but it is hard to see how that job can be done by someone who does not have a solid background in the financial services sector. It makes one wonder whether the ideal candidate might be someone with an insurance, pensions or retail funds background.
Reblog this post [with Zemanta]

About Regulation

This page contains an archive of all entries posted to Parliamentary Connections in the Regulation category. They are listed from oldest to newest.

« Promoting Protection is the previous category.

« Taxation is the next category.

Many more can be found on the main index page or by looking through the archives.

Creative Commons License
This weblog is licensed under a Creative Commons License.